2021-08-17 17:38

2021-08-17 17:38

In the fourth wave of the Corona virus, we can expect up to 10,000. Infections per day
Photo: Jacek Szydłowski/ / forum

We can expect the fourth wave of coronavirus in September. The daily number of infections can reach 10,000. Per day – PAP told the professor. Krystyna Bieńkowska-Szewczyk is Head of the Department of Molecular Biology of Viruses at the Institute of Biotechnology at the University of Gdask.

On Tuesday, studies confirmed 221 new infections with the Corona virus, and 7 people died from COVID-19, including 4 from COVID-19, and 3 from coexisting COVID-19 with other diseases.

Currently, 80% of cases detected in Poland are delta type, defined – as a virus that transmits and replicates many times faster. Therefore, it can be expected that the course of the disease will be more dynamic, since it multiplies faster in the body. This also applies to human-to-human transmission. So we can expect that the increase in injuries will be very visible, ”- said Professor Kristina Bykovska Zivchik.

She noted that infection dynamics in Poland have so far been similar to those in the United States. “Currently, the number of infections there is in the hundreds and tens of thousands every day, which translates to a large number of hospitalizations and deaths from COVID-19. Most of them are unvaccinated– Note the virologist.

“The population in our country is about ten times less, so the number of daily infections and hospitalizations is ten times less. I think it will be the same this time. I hope there will be no numbers like in the previous waves, but I am afraid that we will expect injuries in Poland during the fourth wave Up to 10,000 infections per dayProfessor Bieńkowska-Szewczyk has been evaluated.

More than 35.43 million vaccines have been made in Poland. More than 18.17 million people have been fully vaccinated – with J&J or two doses of EU-authorized vaccines. More than 18.84 million people took the first dose, according to a statement Tuesday on government websites.

We still have about half of the unvaccinated population, so we can expect a fourth wave of infection. When that happens, no one knows exactly. There are mathematical models that indicate they will be at any minute. “However, I think growth won’t start until September as people come back from vacation and work indoors and get their kids back to school. Younger people rarely get sick, but they spread quickly,” she added. .

In the opinion of the professor. Bieńkowska-Szewczyk is now also epidemiologically dangerous in places where people use transportation, for example indicated by crowded trains, buses and trams.

“Virus particles don’t change under the influence of the weather, but if we’re outside a lot, we’re not stressed, our immune system works better, which translates to a lower number of infections in the summer,” she explained. (PAP)

Author: Magdalena Gronic

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