delta variable.  The expert points at the fourth wave.  How many casualties will there be?

The latest data from the Ministry of Health shows that 208 new cases of coronavirus and one death were recorded in Poland on Wednesday.

Commenting on the increasing number of daily infections, Dr. Currently, 80 percent of cases detected in Poland are delta variant, defined as a virus that transmits and replicates many, said Krystyna Bieńkowska-Szewczyk, Head of the Department of Molecular Biology of Viruses at the Institute of Biotechnology at the University of Gdask. times faster. Therefore, it can be expected that the course of the disease will be more dynamic, since it multiplies faster in the body. This also applies to human-to-human transmission. So we can expect that the increase in infections will be very noticeable.

She noted that the infection dynamics in Poland have so far been similar to those in the United States.

– The population of our country is about ten times less, so the number of daily infections and hospitalizations is ten times less so far. I think it will be this time too. We hope that there will be no numbers as in previous waves of infection. However, I am afraid that in Poland during the fourth wave we can expect up to 10,000. Daily infections – the professor’s assessment. Bieńkowska-Szewczyk.

Read also: Delta variable in Poland. This first data

The expert noted that less than half of the population is currently vaccinated in Poland, which increases the risk of the fourth wave – regardless of the prevalence of the delta variant -.

When that happens, no one knows exactly. There are mathematical models that suggest it will be at any moment. However, I think the growth won’t start until September as people come back from vacation and take jobs in cramped quarters, and the kids go back to school.

Read also: The delta variant of the coronavirus. Researchers: Herd immunity can’t be achieved

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